A first-order Markov model for assessing rainfall discontinuity in Central Australia
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Markov Chain Analogue Year Daily Rainfall Model and Pricing of Rainfall Derivatives
In this study we model the daily rainfall occurrence using Markov Chain Analogue Yearmodel (MCAYM) and the intensity or amount of daily rainfall using three different probability distributions; gamma, exponential and mixed exponential distributions. Combining the occurrence and intensity model we obtain Markov Chain Analogue Year gamma model (MCAYGM), Markov Chain Analogue Year exponentia...
متن کاملLearning first-order Markov models for control
First-order Markov models have been successfully applied to many problems, for example in modeling sequential data using Markov chains, and modeling control problems using the Markov decision processes (MDP) formalism. If a first-order Markov model’s parameters are estimated from data, the standard maximum likelihood estimator considers only the first-order (single-step) transitions. But for ma...
متن کاملFirst-Order Markov Decision Processes
Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) [7] have developed lately as a standard method for representing uncertainty in decision-theoretic planning. Traditional MDP solution techniques have the drawback that they require an explicit state space, limiting their applicability to real-world problems due to the large number of world states occurring in such problems. Recent work addresses this drawback via...
متن کاملFirst Order Hidden Markov Model Theory and Implementation Issues
This report explains the theory of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). The emphasis is on the theory aspects in conjunction with the implementation issues that are encountered in a floating point processor. The main theory and implementation issues are based on the use of a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) as the state density in the HMM, and a Continuous Density Hidden Markov Model (CDHMM) is assumed. Su...
متن کاملassessing political stability and instability in central asia and caucasus; case study, azerbaijan and kyrgyzstan
منطقه ی آسیای مرکزی وقفقاز به عنوان منطقه ای تاریخی و به دلیل دارا بودن ذخایر عظیم هیدرو کربنی از اهمیت ویژه ای برخوردار است. کشورهای این منطقه از عوامل عمده ی بی ثباتی نظیر عوامل جغرافیایی، اقتصادی، امنیتی، اجتماعی و سیاسی رنج می برند. پس از فروپاشی اتحاد جماهیر شوروی کشورهای منطقه از نعمت استقلال ناخواسته ای برخوردار شدند که مشکلات فوق را برای آن ها چندین برابر می کرد. در این روند برخی از این...
15 صفحه اولذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Archiv für Meteorologie, Geophysik und Bioklimatologie Serie B
سال: 1967
ISSN: 0066-6424,1434-4483
DOI: 10.1007/bf02390455